Now
that Sandy has left its mark, estimates on the cost of damages are starting to
pour in. Currently, estimates of economic damages from Sandy are between $30-50
billion. According to the L.A. Times, estimates of the economic losses from the
storm reached $50 billion. These numbers come from severe property damage,
subway shut-downs, and power outages. This past Thursday, Eqecat Incorporation
estimated storm damages between $30-50 billion. Of that estimate, $10-20
billion will be insured. As devastating as these numbers are, according to
Business Insider, these numbers are considerably low to that of Hurricane
Katrina; which damages came in at $145 billion. So an answer to the pressing question
still remains: How is Hurricane Sandy going to impact the already damaged U.S
economy?
According
to a recent report released by JPMorgan, “Hurricane Sandy may initially depress
economic activity, then support it over time as rebuilding commences.” The
report also stated that short term impacts are going to be high, but in the
long run the impacts will be minimal.
The
following chart shows monthly GDP after three major hurricane events:
In
general, the affects of the hurricanes were very noticeable within the first
couple months of the storm, which is followed by a more stable economy about 6
months out. According to Business Insider, the biggest impacts will be on
housing, construction, and retail sales. Although there will be an initial
decline in these areas, it will be followed by a boost in the purchasing of
building materials, construction, some home sales, etc. This is something that
was discussed when talking about direct and indirect gains/losses of disaster
during lecture, so it will be interesting to see what the short term and long term
effects of Hurricane Sandy are as more information becomes available. Also
during lecture, we discussed why the government and insurance companies pay
such close attention to storms, and stories like this are proof on why that is
so important.
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